EkstraklasaMatchday 10

Legia 2-0 Wisla: prediction, tips and result

·

Legia
1-11-13-21-13-1
2-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Wisla
2-12-01-12-02-2
Stadium:
Municipal Stadium of Marshal Jozef Pilsudski, Warsaw
Referee:
Damian Sylwestrzak

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Wisla (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost65%

Wisla: under 2.5 card points in 7 of their last 9 league matches, Legia's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 9 (57% of league matches); 1.8 card points a match, Legia's opponents collected 1.4 card points on average, league average 2.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost58%

    goals at both ends in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (60% of league matches); Legia: scored in each of their last 9 league matches

  • Shots on Target – Wisla: Over 3.5Won60%

    Wisla: 5.6 shots on target a match, league average 4.0

For the brave
Cards – Wisla (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost39%

Wisla: 1.8 card points a match, Legia's opponents collected 1.4 card points on average, league average 2.3; under 1.5 card points in 4 of their last 9 league matches, Legia's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 5 of 9 (36% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLegia171946%58%Draw26%24%Wisla157128%18%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%56%O2.555%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Legia2:1WislaW
  2. Wisla1:0LegiaL
  3. Legia0:0WislaD
  4. Wisla1:2LegiaW
  5. Wisla1:3LegiaW
Legia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.8under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 5
RefereeD. Sylwestrzak+0.8 yellow cards vs average32 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%O2.51:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 2.9
Legia : Wisla
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-09%1-26%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-07%2-09%1-21-27%1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%79%79%
12 – no draw74%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals67%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes58%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals55%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%45%45%
1 – Legia win46%55% · Elo 58%55%· Elo 58%
Under 2.5 goals45%44%44%
Both teams to score: no42%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals33%34%34%
2 – Wisla win28%22% · Elo 18%22%· Elo 18%
X – draw26%23% · Elo 24%23%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals21%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Legia attack vs Wisla defenceattack1541defence1454+87 pts to the attack
Wisla attack vs Legia defenceattack1513defence1582−69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.569%61%
8.556%52%
9.544%39%
10.533%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Legiawe expect 5.3, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 60%
Wislawe expect 4.2, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 60%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 25.5 in this match, 23.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.567%59%
23.561%52%
24.554%47%
25.548%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Legiawe expect 11.5, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Wislawe expect 12.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Referee: 25.3 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)+2.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.572%75%
2.546%51%
3.525%32%
4.512%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Legiawe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Wislawe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 32%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Legia matches average only 2.6 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Legia score 2.3 goals per game
  • Legia: unbeaten in 13 matches
  • Wisla: newly promoted
  • Legia: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Wisla: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Legia

Wisla

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Legia1064021:822
6Wisla1052317:1417
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Legia vs Wisla?

Legia 2-0 Wisla (half time 1-0).

Did the Legia vs Wisla tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Wisla (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip lost.

See also