Liga Portugal 2Matchday 6

Academica 0-3 Benfica B: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Referee:
Bruno Miguel do Carmo Vieira

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won55%

our numbers: 2.9 goals in total in this match, league average 2.4

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 9.5Lost56%

    under 9.5 corners in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost32%

over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 2.9 goals in total in this match, league average 2.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAcademica136142%38%Draw27%28%Benfica B140831%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%54%O2.555%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Academica3:4Benfica BL
  2. Benfica B3:1AcademicaL
  3. Academica1:0Benfica BW
  4. Benfica B2:2AcademicaD
  5. Academica1:0Benfica BW
Academica's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.5under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards5.8league 5.9over 5.5: 51%Expected cards: 5.8 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 3
RefereeB. Miguel do Carmo Vieira−0.8 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.3total 2.6
Academica : Benfica B
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-08%2-19%0-1—1-28%0-0—2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-19%1-28%0-08%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-07%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals68%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes59%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%60%60%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals55%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals45%51%51%
1 – Academica win42%40% · Elo 38%40%· Elo 38%
Both teams to score: no41%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals32%27%27%
2 – Benfica B win31%33% · Elo 34%33%· Elo 34%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Academica attack vs Benfica B defenceattack1499defence1487+12 pts to the attack
Benfica B attack vs Academica defenceattack1527defence1474+53 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Benfica B score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Academica: newly promoted
  • Academica: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Benfica B: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Benfica B74128:513
6Academica740310:1012
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Academica vs Benfica B?

Academica 0-3 Benfica B (half time 0-2).

Did the Academica vs Benfica B tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.