Liga Portugal 2Matchday 7
Farense 2-1 Feirense: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio de Sao Luis, Faro
- Referee:
- Antonio Nobre
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%45%O2.544%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Farense0:1FeirenseL
- Feirense0:0FarenseD
- Feirense1:2FarenseW
- Farense0:0FeirenseD
- Feirense4:1FarenseL
Farense's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.5over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.2league 5.5under 5.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 35%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Nobre0.0 yellow cards vs average28 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%11:1coverageleague 52% · H2H 1/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.8total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.3
Farense : FeirenseMost likely scores
Market1-013%1-113%2-011%0-010%0-1—2-19%Attack/defence1-013%1-113%2-09%0-011%0-19%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-013%1-013%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-09%0-00-010%0-011%0-10-1—0-19%2-12-19%2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%66% | 66% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Farense win | 55%46% · Elo 54% | 46%· Elo 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 54%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 26%29% · Elo 25% | 29%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%19% | 19% |
| 2 – Feirense win | 19%26% · Elo 21% | 26%· Elo 21% |
Attack vs defence
Farense attack vs Feirense defenceattack1506defence1517−11 pts to the attack
Feirense attack vs Farense defenceattack1435defence1544−109 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.558%53%
8.545%39%
9.533%34%
10.523%19%
Each team on its own
Farensewe expect 5.5, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Feirensewe expect 3.1, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 26.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 23.6 in this match, 26.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.25.536%51%
26.530%44%
27.524%42%
28.520%36%
Each team on its own
Farensewe expect 12.1, league average 13.4 · chance of over 13.5: 34%
Feirensewe expect 12.6, league average 12.7 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Referee: 24.5 fouls per match on average (19 matches in our data)−2.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.570%70%
2.545%41%
3.524%24%
4.511%14%
Each team on its own
Farensewe expect 1.5, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Feirensewe expect 1.0, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Farense matches average only 4.6 cards (league 5.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Feirense score only 0.6 goals per game
- Feirense: 5 defeats in a row
- Feirense: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Farense: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Feirense: 28 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:10 | 1 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Farense vs Feirense?
Farense 2-1 Feirense (half time 1-0).