Liga Portugal 2Matchday 6

Felgueiras 1-2 Penafiel: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
Referee:
Flavio Jesus

The match in numbers

1X2EloFelgueiras137141%39%Draw30%28%Penafiel139629%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%48%O2.539%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Felgueiras0:0PenafielD
  2. Penafiel2:0FelgueirasL
  3. Felgueiras1:0PenafielW
  4. Penafiel2:1FelgueirasL
  5. Felgueiras2:3PenafielL
Felgueiras's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.5under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.6league 5.9under 5.5: 52%Expected cards: 5.6 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.won · ended 3
RefereeF. Jesus−0.7 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Felgueiras : Penafiel
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-011%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-011%0-010%0-10-110%0-110%2-12-18%2-18%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals81%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%70%70%
12 – no draw70%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals67%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals61%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%59%59%
Both teams to score: no54%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes46%48%48%
1 – Felgueiras win41%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
Over 2.5 goals39%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals33%32%32%
X – draw30%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
2 – Penafiel win29%30% · Elo 33%30%· Elo 33%
Over 3.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Felgueiras attack vs Penafiel defenceattack1473defence1505−32 pts to the attack
Penafiel attack vs Felgueiras defenceattack1517defence1555−38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Penafiel matches average only 6.7 corners (league 9.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Felgueiras: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Penafiel: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Penafiel741214:713
14Felgueiras71335:76
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Felgueiras vs Penafiel?

Felgueiras 1-2 Penafiel (half time 0-1).