Liga Portugal 2Matchday 5

Lourosa 2-1 AVS: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Estadio Carlos Osorio, Oliveira de Azemeis
Referee:
Joao Pedro Costa Teixeira Afonso

The match in numbers

1X2EloLourosa139144%28%Draw28%28%AVS149128%44%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.547%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeJ. Pedro Costa Teixeira Afonso−2.0 cards vs average1 match

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.6
Lourosa : AVS
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%0-09%0-1—2-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-08%0-18%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-08%2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals75%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%70%70%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals53%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes52%54%54%
Both teams to score: no48%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals47%49%49%
1 – Lourosa win44%43% · Elo 28%43%· Elo 28%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
2 – AVS win28%30% · Elo 44%30%· Elo 44%
Under 1.5 goals27%26%26%
Over 3.5 goals25%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Lourosa attack vs AVS defenceattack1512defence1477+35 pts to the attack
AVS attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1495defence1474+21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lourosa score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • AVS: newly promoted
  • Lourosa: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • AVS: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lourosa752012:517
12AVS72328:79
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lourosa vs AVS?

Lourosa 2-1 AVS (half time 1-1).