Liga PortugalMatchday 4

Arouca 2-1 Maritimo: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Referee:
Gustavo Fernandes Correia

The match in numbers

1X2EloArouca167446%60%Draw28%23%Maritimo149626%16%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%53%O2.546%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Arouca1:0MaritimoW
  2. Maritimo1:1AroucaD
  3. Arouca0:3MaritimoL
  4. Maritimo2:2AroucaD
  5. Maritimo3:1AroucaL
Arouca's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeG. Fernandes Correia+0.3 cards vs average26 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.0total 2.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Arouca : Maritimo
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%2-19%0-09%2-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-19%0-07%2-09%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-011%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-07%2-02-09%2-09%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%74%74%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals72%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals54%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes51%53%53%
Both teams to score: no49%47%47%
1 – Arouca win46%48% · Elo 60%48%· Elo 60%
Over 2.5 goals46%50%50%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 23%26%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals28%26%26%
2 – Maritimo win26%26% · Elo 16%26%· Elo 16%
Over 3.5 goals24%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Arouca attack vs Maritimo defenceattack1489defence1425+64 pts to the attack
Maritimo attack vs Arouca defenceattack1425defence1452−27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Arouca: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Maritimo: newly promoted
  • Arouca: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Maritimo: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Arouca842211:714
12Maritimo82249:148
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Arouca vs Maritimo?

Arouca 2-1 Maritimo (half time 1-1).