Liga PortugalMatchday 3
Porto 2-0 Arouca: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio do Dragao, Porto
- Referee:
- Joao Pedro Pinheiro
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost59%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Match Result: PortoWon76%
Porto: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost37%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS45%48%O2.559%51%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Porto3:1AroucaW
- Arouca0:4PortoW
- Arouca0:2PortoW
- Porto4:0AroucaW
- Arouca3:2PortoL
Porto's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.4league 5.2under 5.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.4 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 1
RefereeJ. Pedro Pinheiro+0.5 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 0.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.9 : 0.8total 2.7
Porto : AroucaMost likely scores
Market2-013%1-011%3-011%1-18%2-19%0-0—Attack/defence2-012%1-012%3-08%1-111%2-110%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-013%2-012%1-01-011%1-012%3-03-011%3-08%1-11-18%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 92%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%76% | 76% |
| 1 – Porto win | 76%63% · Elo 73% | 63%· Elo 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%71% | 71% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 59%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 55%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%29% | 29% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 25%38% | 38% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 16%22% · Elo 17% | 22%· Elo 17% |
| 2 – Arouca win | 9%15% · Elo 10% | 15%· Elo 10% |
Attack vs defence
Porto attack vs Arouca defenceattack1624defence1456+168 pts to the attack
Arouca attack vs Porto defenceattack1496defence1671−175 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Arouca: 4 wins in a row
- Arouca: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Porto: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Arouca: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Porto vs Arouca?
Porto 2-0 Arouca (half time 0-0).
Did the Porto vs Arouca tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.