Liga PortugalMatchday 6

Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisbon
Referee:
Joao Goncalves

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won69%

our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBenfica202787%78%Draw9%14%Gil Vicente16664%8%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%49%O2.569%55%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gil Vicente1:2BenficaW
  2. Benfica2:1Gil VicenteW
  3. Gil Vicente0:3BenficaW
  4. Benfica5:1Gil VicenteW
  5. Benfica3:0Gil VicenteW
Benfica's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.4under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 34%.won · ended 5
RefereeJ. Goncalves0.0 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.1 : 0.5total 3.6Attack/defence2.1 : 0.8total 2.9
Benfica : Gil Vicente
Most likely scores
Market3-013%2-013%1-08%4-010%2-1—1-1—3-17%Attack/defence3-08%2-012%1-011%4-0—2-110%1-110%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence3-03-013%3-08%2-02-013%2-012%1-01-08%1-011%4-04-010%4-0—2-12-1—2-110%1-11-1—1-110%3-13-17%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat96%87%87%
12 – no draw91%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals88%78%78%
1 – Benfica win87%66% · Elo 78%66%· Elo 78%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals69%55%55%
Both teams to score: no61%51%51%
Under 3.5 goals52%67%67%
Over 3.5 goals48%33%33%
Both teams to score: yes39%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals31%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat13%34%34%
Under 1.5 goals12%22%22%
X – draw9%21% · Elo 14%21%· Elo 14%
2 – Gil Vicente win4%14% · Elo 8%14%· Elo 8%
Attack vs defence
Benfica attack vs Gil Vicente defenceattack1753defence1539+214 pts to the attack
Gil Vicente attack vs Benfica defenceattack1475defence1655−180 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Benfica score 3.1 goals per game
  • Benfica: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Benfica: 4 wins in a row
  • Benfica: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Gil Vicente: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Benfica861124:719
8Gil Vicente73226:511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Benfica vs Gil Vicente?

Benfica 3-1 Gil Vicente (half time 1-1).

Did the Benfica vs Gil Vicente tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.