Liga PortugalMatchday 3

Moreirense 0-4 Benfica: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos
Referee:
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won68%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won47%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 3.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMoreirense16264%11%Draw9%18%Benfica202787%71%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%52%O2.568%54%|exp. goals 0.9 : 1.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Benfica4:1MoreirenseL
  2. Moreirense0:4BenficaL
  3. Benfica3:2MoreirenseL
  4. Moreirense1:1BenficaD
  5. Benfica3:0MoreirenseL
Moreirense's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 60%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 6
RefereeF. Jose Costa Verissimo+0.1 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.5 : 3.0total 3.5Attack/defence0.9 : 1.9total 2.8
Moreirense : Benfica
Most likely scores
Market0-313%0-213%0-18%1-1—0-410%1-2—1-37%Attack/defence0-37%0-211%0-111%1-111%0-4—1-210%1-36%
MarketAttack/defence0-30-313%0-37%0-20-213%0-211%0-10-18%0-111%1-11-1—1-111%0-40-410%0-4—1-21-2—1-210%1-31-37%1-36%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat96%83%83%
12 – no draw91%78%78%
2 – Benfica win87%61% · Elo 71%61%· Elo 71%
Over 1.5 goals87%78%78%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals68%54%54%
Both teams to score: no61%48%48%
Under 3.5 goals53%68%68%
Over 3.5 goals47%32%32%
Both teams to score: yes39%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals32%46%46%
1X – home team avoid defeat13%39%39%
Under 1.5 goals13%22%22%
X – draw9%22% · Elo 18%22%· Elo 18%
1 – Moreirense win4%17% · Elo 11%17%· Elo 11%
Attack vs defence
Moreirense attack vs Benfica defenceattack1421defence1644−223 pts to the attack
Benfica attack vs Moreirense defenceattack1743defence1445+298 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Benfica score 2.9 goals per game
  • Benfica: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Benfica: unbeaten in 53 matches
  • Moreirense: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Benfica: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Benfica861124:719
11Moreirense82248:158
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Moreirense vs Benfica?

Moreirense 0-4 Benfica (half time 0-1).

Did the Moreirense vs Benfica tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.