Liga PortugalMatchday 5
Porto 2-1 Moreirense: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Estadio do Dragao, Porto
- Referee:
- Antonio Nobre
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost15%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS29%43%O2.561%49%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Porto3:0MoreirenseW
- Moreirense1:2PortoW
- Porto3:1MoreirenseW
- Moreirense0:3PortoW
- Porto5:0MoreirenseW
Porto's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Nobre+0.2 cards vs average27 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 0.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.9 : 0.7total 2.6
Porto : MoreirenseMost likely scores
Market2-017%3-015%1-012%4-011%1-1—2-16%0-0—Attack/defence2-013%3-09%1-014%4-0—1-110%2-19%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-017%2-013%3-03-015%3-09%1-01-012%1-014%4-04-011%4-0—1-11-1—1-110%2-12-16%2-19%0-00-0—0-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 97%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 90%79% | 79% |
| 1 – Porto win | 87%66% · Elo 77% | 66%· Elo 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%74% | 74% |
| Both teams to score: no | 71%57% | 57% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 61%49% | 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%73% | 73% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%27% | 27% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 29%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%26% | 26% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 13%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 10%21% · Elo 15% | 21%· Elo 15% |
| 2 – Moreirense win | 3%12% · Elo 8% | 12%· Elo 8% |
Attack vs defence
Porto attack vs Moreirense defenceattack1633defence1451+182 pts to the attack
Moreirense attack vs Porto defenceattack1417defence1677−260 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Porto matches average only 3.3 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Porto concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Porto: 5 wins in a row
- Porto: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Moreirense: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Porto vs Moreirense?
Porto 2-1 Moreirense (half time 1-1).
Did the Porto vs Moreirense tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.