Liga PortugalMatchday 5

Estrela 2-2 Famalicao: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Estadio Jose Gomes, Amadora
Referee:
Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstrela154733%25%Draw30%28%Famalicao170437%47%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%47%O2.543%41%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Estrela0:0FamalicaoD
  2. Famalicao2:3EstrelaW
  3. Famalicao0:0EstrelaD
  4. Estrela0:3FamalicaoL
  5. Famalicao0:0EstrelaD
Estrela's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.4under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.1under 5.5: 69%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 5
RefereeV. Jorge Fernandes Ferreira−1.6 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.1 : 1.2total 2.3
Estrela : Famalicao
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-09%0-010%1-28%0-2—Attack/defence1-114%0-112%1-011%0-010%1-28%0-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-10-110%0-112%1-01-09%1-011%0-00-010%0-010%1-21-28%1-28%0-20-2—0-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%80%80%
12 – no draw70%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals70%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat67%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%62%62%
Under 2.5 goals57%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes50%47%47%
Both teams to score: no50%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals43%41%41%
2 – Famalicao win37%38% · Elo 47%38%· Elo 47%
1 – Estrela win33%33% · Elo 25%33%· Elo 25%
X – draw30%29% · Elo 28%29%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals30%33%33%
Over 3.5 goals22%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Estrela attack vs Famalicao defenceattack1445defence1575−130 pts to the attack
Famalicao attack vs Estrela defenceattack1465defence1424+41 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Estrela824214:1510
13Famalicao814310:117
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estrela vs Famalicao?

Estrela 2-2 Famalicao (half time 0-1).