Liga PortugalMatchday 4
Nacional 2-3 Estrela: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio da Madeira, Funchal
- Referee:
- Carlos Andre Fernandes Macedo
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won57%
referee Carlos Andre Fernandes Macedo averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 5.2; our numbers: 4.3 cards against a league average of 5.2
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%52%O2.546%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nacional2:0EstrelaW
- Estrela1:1NacionalD
- Nacional0:1EstrelaL
- Estrela2:0NacionalL
- Estrela0:1NacionalW
Nacional's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.4under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.3league 5.2under 5.5: 73%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 3
RefereeC. Andre Fernandes Macedo−2.0 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Nacional : EstrelaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%2-19%0-09%2-0—0-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-08%2-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-00-09%0-08%2-02-0—2-08%0-10-18%0-18%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Nacional win | 40%46% · Elo 47% | 46%· Elo 47% |
| 2 – Estrela win | 31%27% · Elo 25% | 27%· Elo 25% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%27% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Nacional attack vs Estrela defenceattack1456defence1424+32 pts to the attack
Estrela attack vs Nacional defenceattack1432defence1454−22 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nacional: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Estrela: no win in 9 matches
- Nacional: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Estrela: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nacional vs Estrela?
Nacional 2-3 Estrela (half time 1-1).
Did the Nacional vs Estrela tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.