Liga PortugalMatchday 3
Guimaraes 1-0 Nacional: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes
- Referee:
- Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%52%O2.551%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Nacional2:0GuimaraesL
- Guimaraes2:1NacionalW
- Nacional1:2GuimaraesW
- Guimaraes2:2NacionalD
- Nacional1:0GuimaraesL
Guimaraes's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.4under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.2under 5.5: 56%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 3
RefereeP. Miguel Torres Ramalho+0.4 cards vs average20 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 0.9total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.6
Guimaraes : NacionalMost likely scores
Market1-112%1-011%2-011%2-110%0-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-19%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-011%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-07%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 83%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%74% | 74% |
| 1 – Guimaraes win | 59%49% · Elo 50% | 49%· Elo 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%48% | 48% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%48% | 48% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%52% | 52% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 41%51% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 24%26% · Elo 27% | 26%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%27% | 27% |
| 2 – Nacional win | 17%25% · Elo 23% | 25%· Elo 23% |
Attack vs defence
Guimaraes attack vs Nacional defenceattack1508defence1455+53 pts to the attack
Nacional attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1464defence1510−46 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Nacional: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Nacional matches average 11.8 corners (league 9.4) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Guimaraes: 5 defeats in a row
- Guimaraes: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Nacional: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Guimaraes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Nacional?
Guimaraes 1-0 Nacional (half time 1-0).