Liga PortugalMatchday 4

Sp Braga 1-0 Guimaraes: prediction, tips and result

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1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Braga Municipal, Braga (attendance: 20,762)
Referee:
Andre Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso

The match in numbers

1X2EloSp Braga189051%67%Draw28%20%Guimaraes165621%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%52%O2.542%50%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sp Braga3:2GuimaraesW
  2. Guimaraes1:1Sp BragaD
  3. Guimaraes0:0Sp BragaD
  4. Sp Braga0:2GuimaraesL
  5. Guimaraes2:3Sp BragaW
Sp Braga's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.4under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 4
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1under 5.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 5
RefereeA. Filipe Domingues da Silva Narciso−0.2 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 0.9total 2.4Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.7
Sp Braga : Guimaraes
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-013%2-010%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%0-07%2-110%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-013%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-010%0-07%2-12-19%2-110%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals78%72%72%
12 – no draw72%75%75%
Over 1.5 goals70%74%74%
Under 2.5 goals58%50%50%
Both teams to score: no54%48%48%
1 – Sp Braga win51%51% · Elo 67%51%· Elo 67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes46%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals42%50%50%
Under 1.5 goals30%26%26%
X – draw28%25% · Elo 20%25%· Elo 20%
Over 3.5 goals22%28%28%
2 – Guimaraes win21%23% · Elo 13%23%· Elo 13%
Attack vs defence
Sp Braga attack vs Guimaraes defenceattack1605defence1517+88 pts to the attack
Guimaraes attack vs Sp Braga defenceattack1510defence1565−55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Sp Braga73228:811
15Guimaraes81255:105
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sp Braga vs Guimaraes?

Sp Braga 1-0 Guimaraes (half time 0-0).