SuperligaMatchday 12
U Craiova vs Farul Constanta: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.555%53%|exp. goals 1.9 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Farul Constanta4:1U CraiovaL
- U Craiova2:0Farul ConstantaW
- U Craiova1:0Farul ConstantaW
- Farul Constanta3:2U CraiovaL
- Farul Constanta3:3U CraiovaD
U Craiova's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.7under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.1under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.8total 2.9Attack/defence1.9 : 0.9total 2.8
U Craiova : Farul ConstantaMost likely scores
Market2-012%1-011%1-110%2-110%3-08%0-0—Attack/defence2-011%1-011%1-111%2-110%3-07%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-011%1-01-011%1-011%1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 86%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 80%78% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%69% | 69% |
| 1 – U Craiova win | 66%61% · Elo 63% | 61%· Elo 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 34%39% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%31% | 31% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%23% | 23% |
| X – draw | 20%22% · Elo 22% | 22%· Elo 22% |
| 2 – Farul Constanta win | 14%17% · Elo 15% | 17%· Elo 15% |
Attack vs defence
U Craiova attack vs Farul Constanta defenceattack1631defence1499+132 pts to the attack
Farul Constanta attack vs U Craiova defenceattack1504defence1642−138 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.568%65%
8.556%54%
9.543%44%
10.532%30%
Each team on its own
U Craiovawe expect 5.6, league average 4.9 · chance of over 4.5: 64%
Farul Constantawe expect 3.8, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 76%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 24%
We expect 19.0 in this match, 22.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.530%54%
22.524%48%
23.519%40%
24.514%33%
Each team on its own
U Craiovawe expect 9.7, league average 11.0 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Farul Constantawe expect 8.9, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 20%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.571%74%
2.546%48%
3.525%25%
4.511%12%
Each team on its own
U Craiovawe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Farul Constantawe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
Teams
- U Craiova4 clean sheets in a rowat home: 2Went on 35%League 41%Model 44%Record 9
- Farul Constanta14 matches without a win awayWent on 78%League 78%Model 86%Record 27
Players
- Simon ElisorU Craiova3 matches with a goal4 goalsWent on 27%Season 80%
Worth knowing before kick-off
- U Craiova: 4 wins in a row
- U Craiova: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Farul Constanta: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | U Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 17 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
U Craiova are the favourites. Chances: U Craiova win 66%, draw 20%, Farul Constanta win 14%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
Expected goals: 2.9 (U Craiova 2.1, Farul Constanta 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
The chance that both teams score is 50%.
When is U Craiova vs Farul Constanta?
The Superliga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time).