LaLigaMatchday 8
Barcelona 3-0 Getafe: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Camp Nou, Barcelona
- Referee:
- Jesus Gil Manzano
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost55%
our numbers: 4.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8
Other tips
- Shots on Target – Getafe: Under 3.5Won65%
our numbers for Getafe: 3.0 shots on target against a league average of 3.8; Getafe: 2.9 shots on target a match, Barcelona's opponents had 3.3 on average, league average 3.8
For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Lost11%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%47%O2.576%60%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Getafe0:2BarcelonaW
- Barcelona3:0GetafeW
- Getafe1:1BarcelonaD
- Barcelona1:0GetafeW
- Barcelona4:0GetafeW
Barcelona's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 6
RefereeJ. Gil Manzano+0.2 yellow cards vs average33 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%U4.55:0coverageleague 86% · H2H 5/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.4 : 0.6total 4.0Attack/defence2.4 : 0.7total 3.1
Barcelona : GetafeMost likely scores
Market2-011%3-012%1-0—4-010%2-1—1-1—3-17%5-07%Attack/defence2-013%3-010%1-010%4-0—2-19%1-18%3-17%5-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-013%3-03-012%3-010%1-01-0—1-010%4-04-010%4-0—2-12-1—2-19%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-17%3-17%5-05-07%5-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 96%91% | 91% |
| 12 – no draw | 92%83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%82% | 82% |
| 1 – Barcelona win | 88%74% · Elo 81% | 74%· Elo 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76%60% | 60% |
| Our tip: Over 3.5 goals | 56%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 56%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24%40% | 40% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 12%26% | 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%18% | 18% |
| X – draw | 8%17% · Elo 12% | 17%· Elo 12% |
| 2 – Getafe win | 4%9% · Elo 6% | 9%· Elo 6% |
Attack vs defence
Barcelona attack vs Getafe defenceattack1797defence1565+232 pts to the attack
Getafe attack vs Barcelona defenceattack1341defence1608−267 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.564%67%
8.552%52%
9.539%39%
10.528%30%
Each team on its own
Barcelonawe expect 6.1, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 55%
Getafewe expect 3.0, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 35%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 23.7 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.556%55%
23.549%48%
24.543%42%
25.536%36%
Each team on its own
Barcelonawe expect 11.4, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Getafewe expect 11.3, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Referee: 24.0 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)+1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 4.2 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.579%69%
3.561%49%
4.542%35%
5.526%25%
Each team on its own
Barcelonawe expect 2.5, league average 2.2 · chance of over 2.5: 46%
Getafewe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Barcelona score 3.5 goals per game
- Barcelona matches average only 2.5 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Barcelona: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Getafe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Barcelona: 7 wins in a row
- Barcelona: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Getafe: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Barcelona vs Getafe?
Barcelona 3-0 Getafe (half time 2-0).
Did the Barcelona vs Getafe tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip lost.