LaLigaMatchday 8

Betis 5-2 Osasuna: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio de La Cartuja, Seville
Referee:
Carlos Muniz Munoz

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: BetisWon65%

Betis: won 5 of their last 7 league matches

Other tips

  • Cards – Betis (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won64%

    Betis: 1.4 card points a match, Osasuna's opponents collected 2.0 card points on average, league average 2.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Offsides – Betis: Under 2.5Won70%

    Betis: 1.0 offsides a match, Osasuna's opponents were caught offside 1.6 times on average, league average 2.2; under 2.5 offsides in 7 of their last 7 league matches, Osasuna's opponents were caught offside under 2.5 times in 5 of 7 (65% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Osasuna: Over 3.5Won59%

    Osasuna: 4.0 shots on target a match, Betis's opponents had 5.4 on average, league average 3.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBetis192666%60%Draw20%23%Osasuna176615%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%54%O2.558%54%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Osasuna1:1BetisD
  2. Betis2:0OsasunaW
  3. Betis1:1OsasunaD
  4. Osasuna1:2BetisW
  5. Osasuna0:2BetisW
Betis's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.lost · ended 7
RefereeC. Muniz Munoz−1.7 yellow cards vs average3 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%11:1coverageleague 62% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.8
Betis : Osasuna
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-011%1-010%2-110%3-08%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-09%1-010%2-110%3-0—0-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-02-011%2-09%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-0—0-00-0—0-06%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%78%78%
12 – no draw81%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals81%77%77%
Our tip: 1 – Betis win66%54% · Elo 60%54%· Elo 60%
Under 3.5 goals65%69%69%
Over 2.5 goals58%54%54%
Both teams to score: yes52%54%54%
Both teams to score: no48%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals42%46%46%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%46%46%
Over 3.5 goals35%31%31%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 23%24%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals19%23%23%
2 – Osasuna win15%22% · Elo 17%22%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Betis attack vs Osasuna defenceattack1534defence1468+66 pts to the attack
Osasuna attack vs Betis defenceattack1465defence1524−59 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.570%67%
8.558%52%
9.546%40%
10.534%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Betiswe expect 5.4, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 45%
Osasunawe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 23.8 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.556%54%
23.550%48%
24.543%42%
25.537%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Betiswe expect 11.4, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 46%
Osasunawe expect 12.0, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 53%
Referee: 25.7 fouls per match on average (3 matches in our data)+2.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.573%70%
3.553%48%
4.534%34%
5.519%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Betiswe expect 1.9, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 30%
Osasunawe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 55%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Betis: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Osasuna: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Osasuna score a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Betis: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Osasuna: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Betis861114:919
16Osasuna82248:188
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Betis vs Osasuna?

Betis 5-2 Osasuna (half time 2-0).

Did the Betis vs Osasuna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Betis. The tip won.