LaLigaMatchday 9
Getafe vs Vallecano: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 5d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%44%O2.535%37%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Getafe0:2VallecanoL
- Vallecano1:1GetafeD
- Vallecano1:0GetafeL
- Getafe0:0VallecanoD
- Vallecano0:0GetafeD
Getafe's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.7under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.1total 2.1Attack/defence1.2 : 1.0total 2.2
Getafe : VallecanoMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-013%1-011%0-112%2-0—2-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-114%0-012%1-013%0-111%2-08%2-18%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%0-00-013%0-012%1-01-011%1-013%0-10-112%0-111%2-02-0—2-08%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 84%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 67%61% | 61% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%44% | 44% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37%36% | 36% |
| 2 – Vallecano win | 36%31% · Elo 33% | 31%· Elo 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Getafe win | 33%40% · Elo 38% | 40%· Elo 38% |
| X – draw | 31%30% · Elo 29% | 30%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Getafe attack vs Vallecano defenceattack1334defence1498−164 pts to the attack
Vallecano attack vs Getafe defenceattack1465defence1563−98 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%67%
8.550%53%
9.538%40%
10.527%31%
Each team on its own
Getafewe expect 4.3, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 28%
Vallecanowe expect 4.1, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 25.5 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.567%55%
23.561%48%
24.554%43%
25.548%36%
Each team on its own
Getafewe expect 12.3, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
Vallecanowe expect 13.4, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 66%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.564%69%
3.542%48%
4.524%34%
5.512%24%
Each team on its own
Getafewe expect 1.8, league average 2.1 · chance of over 2.5: 27%
Vallecanowe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Vallecano8 matches in a row with BTTSaway: 6Went on 55%League 59%Model 43%Record 18
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Getafe: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Getafe score only 0.5 goals per game
- Getafe: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Vallecano: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Getafe vs Vallecano?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Getafe win 33%, draw 31%, Vallecano win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Getafe vs Vallecano?
Expected goals: 2.1 (Getafe 1.0, Vallecano 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 35%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Vallecano?
The chance that both teams score is 43%.
When is Getafe vs Vallecano?
The LaLiga match kicks off 19 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).