LaLigaMatchday 8

Malaga 1-1 Espanol: prediction, tips and result

·

Malaga
0-40-01-11-30-1
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Espanol
1-31-22-01-11-2
Stadium:
La Rosaleda, Malaga
Referee:
Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Lost67%

referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.0 yellow cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.8 yellow cards against a league average of 4.4

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Malaga: Under 4.5Lost64%

    Malaga: 1.9 shots on target a match, Espanol's opponents had 4.4 on average, league average 5.1; our numbers for Malaga: 4.0 shots on target against a league average of 5.1

  • Offsides – Espanol: Over 1.5Lost61%

    Espanol: 2.9 offsides a match, Malaga's opponents were caught offside 2.0 times on average, league average 1.8; our numbers for Espanol: 2.1 offsides against a league average of 1.8

  • Fouls – Malaga: Under 11.5Won57%

    Malaga: 11.6 fouls a match, Espanol's opponents committed 9.4 on average, league average 11.8

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost48%

referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso averages 3.0 yellow cards a match, league average 4.4; our numbers: 3.8 yellow cards against a league average of 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMalaga176535%44%Draw29%28%Espanol176636%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%52%O2.549%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Espanol4:1MalagaL
  2. Malaga0:1EspanolL
  3. Malaga0:1EspanolL
  4. Espanol2:2MalagaD
  5. Malaga1:1EspanolD
Malaga's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.7under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.4under 4.5: 67%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 9
RefereeF. Jose Hernandez Maeso−1.4 yellow cards vs average22 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%1X0:1coverageleague 79% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.5
Malaga : Espanol
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-19%2-1—0-08%1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-19%2-19%0-08%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-12-1—2-19%0-00-08%0-08%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals73%75%75%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%68%68%
Both teams to score: yes54%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals51%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals49%46%46%
Both teams to score: no46%48%48%
2 – Espanol win36%32% · Elo 28%32%· Elo 28%
1 – Malaga win35%40% · Elo 44%40%· Elo 44%
X – draw29%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals27%25%25%
Under 1.5 goals25%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Malaga attack vs Espanol defenceattack1396defence1482−86 pts to the attack
Espanol attack vs Malaga defenceattack1462defence14620 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.561%67%
8.548%52%
9.535%39%
10.525%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Malagawe expect 4.0, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 22%
Espanolwe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 23.6 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.556%55%
23.549%48%
24.542%42%
25.536%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Malagawe expect 11.1, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Espanolwe expect 12.3, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 56%
Referee: 22.1 fouls per match on average (22 matches in our data)+0.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.573%69%
3.553%49%
4.534%35%
5.519%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Malagawe expect 1.6, league average 2.2 · chance of over 2.5: 22%
Espanolwe expect 2.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 61%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Malaga: no win in 7 matches
  • Malaga: newly promoted
  • Malaga: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Espanol: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Malaga

Espanol

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Espanol822411:118
20Malaga80444:134
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Malaga vs Espanol?

Malaga 1-1 Espanol (half time 0-1).

Did the Malaga vs Espanol tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also