LaLigaMatchday 6
Malaga 1-3 Villarreal: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- La Rosaleda, Malaga
- Referee:
- Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%57%O2.560%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Malaga1:0VillarrealW
- Villarreal2:0MalagaL
- Villarreal1:1MalagaD
- Malaga0:2VillarrealL
- Villarreal1:0MalagaL
Malaga's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.7over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.6under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM. Angel Ortiz Arias−0.4 cards vs average25 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Malaga : VillarrealMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-17%2-17%1-0—0-27%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%2-18%1-08%0-2—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-29%0-10-17%0-19%2-12-17%2-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-2—0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 74%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%70% | 70% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%53% | 53% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 51%61% | 61% |
| 2 – Villarreal win | 49%39% · Elo 37% | 39%· Elo 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%30% | 30% |
| 1 – Malaga win | 26%35% · Elo 34% | 35%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Malaga attack vs Villarreal defenceattack1409defence1488−79 pts to the attack
Villarreal attack vs Malaga defenceattack1583defence1473+110 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Villarreal: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Malaga: newly promoted
- Villarreal played 3 days ago
- Malaga: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Malaga vs Villarreal?
Malaga 1-3 Villarreal (half time 1-2).