AllsvenskanMatchday 24
Degerfors vs Kalmar: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 5d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%48%O2.547%42%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kalmar2:1DegerforsL
- Degerfors1:3KalmarL
- Kalmar2:1DegerforsL
- Degerfors2:1KalmarW
- Kalmar2:0DegerforsL
Degerfors's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.2under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Degerfors : KalmarMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-09%0-19%2-1—1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-114%1-012%0-010%0-110%2-18%1-2—2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-114%1-01-09%1-012%0-00-09%0-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73%68% | 68% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%59% | 59% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%69% | 69% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%52% | 52% |
| 2 – Kalmar win | 37%31% · Elo 31% | 31%· Elo 31% |
| 1 – Degerfors win | 35%41% · Elo 43% | 41%· Elo 43% |
| X – draw | 28%29% · Elo 26% | 29%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27%32% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Degerfors attack vs Kalmar defenceattack1370defence1436−66 pts to the attack
Kalmar attack vs Degerfors defenceattack1395defence1444−49 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.559%64%
8.546%53%
9.533%40%
10.523%29%
Each team on its own
Degerforswe expect 4.2, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Kalmarwe expect 3.8, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 24.0 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.571%61%
21.565%54%
22.558%47%
23.551%38%
Each team on its own
Degerforswe expect 11.4, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 57%
Kalmarwe expect 12.9, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 71%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 2.4 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.570%66%
2.544%44%
3.523%25%
4.510%13%
Each team on its own
Degerforswe expect 1.4, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Kalmarwe expect 1.0, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 26%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Kalmar7 matches in a row without scoringaway: 4Equals the league record since 1993Went on 49%League 30%Model 27%
- Kalmar7 matches in a row without BTTSaway: 4Went on 54%League 48%Model 47%Record 13
- Kalmar5 defeats in a rowaway: 3Went on 49%League 42%Model 35%Record 9
- Kalmar12 matches without a win awayoverall: 9Went on 79%League 65%Model 63%Record 25
- Degerfors6 matches in a row under 2.5 goalsat home: 2Went on 56%League 47%Model 53%Record 18
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Degerfors: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Kalmar score only 0.5 goals per game
- Kalmar: 5 defeats in a row
- Kalmar: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Kalmar: newly promoted
- Degerfors: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Kalmar: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20:35 | 20 |
| 14 | Kalmar | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:37 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Degerfors vs Kalmar?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Degerfors win 35%, draw 28%, Kalmar win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors vs Kalmar?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Degerfors 1.2, Kalmar 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Degerfors vs Kalmar?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Degerfors vs Kalmar?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 19 October 2026, 18:00 (UK time).