AllsvenskanMatchday 20

Kalmar 0-1 Djurgarden: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Guldfageln Arena, Kalmar
Referee:
Kristoffer Karlsson

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost60%

under 3.5 cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost55%

    goals at both ends in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKalmar139719%20%Draw23%22%Djurgarden167058%58%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.557%51%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.7not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Djurgarden3:2KalmarL
  2. Djurgarden1:1KalmarD
  3. Kalmar2:1DjurgardenW
  4. Kalmar2:1DjurgardenW
  5. Djurgarden3:1KalmarL
Kalmar's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.5under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
RefereeK. Karlsson−0.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.9total 2.9Attack/defence1.0 : 1.7total 2.7
Kalmar : Djurgarden
Most likely scores
Market1-111%0-19%1-210%0-210%0-0—1-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-112%0-111%1-210%0-210%0-07%1-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%0-10-19%0-111%1-21-210%1-210%0-20-210%0-210%0-00-0—0-07%1-01-0—1-06%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat81%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals80%75%75%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals65%71%71%
2 – Djurgarden win58%53% · Elo 58%53%· Elo 58%
Over 2.5 goals57%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes55%53%53%
Both teams to score: no45%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals43%49%49%
1X – home team avoid defeat42%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals35%29%29%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 22%25%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals20%25%25%
1 – Kalmar win19%22% · Elo 20%22%· Elo 20%
Attack vs defence
Kalmar attack vs Djurgarden defenceattack1411defence1612−201 pts to the attack
Djurgarden attack vs Kalmar defenceattack1632defence1436+196 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Djurgarden score 2.4 goals per game
  • Djurgarden concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Kalmar: newly promoted
  • Kalmar: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Djurgarden: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Djurgarden23142748:2144
14Kalmar23541421:3719
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Kalmar vs Djurgarden?

Kalmar 0-1 Djurgarden (half time 0-0).

Did the Kalmar vs Djurgarden tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.