AllsvenskanMatchday 25
Hacken vs Degerfors: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 7hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%O2.557%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Degerfors1:1HackenD
- Degerfors0:0HackenD
- Hacken3:4DegerforsL
- Degerfors1:0HackenL
- Hacken6:1DegerforsW
Hacken's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.1league 3.3under 3.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 0.9total 2.7
Hacken : DegerforsMost likely scores
Model1-010%1-110%2-010%2-110%0-0—3-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-07%3-0—0-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-010%1-012%1-11-110%1-112%2-02-010%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-0—0-07%3-03-07%3-0—0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 82%81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%73% | 73% |
| 1 – Hacken win | 61%56% · Elo 59% | 56%· Elo 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57%50% | 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 22%24% · Elo 22% | 24%· Elo 22% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21%26% | 26% |
| 2 – Degerfors win | 18%20% · Elo 19% | 20%· Elo 19% |
Attack vs defence
Hacken attack vs Degerfors defenceattack1548defence1444+104 pts to the attack
Degerfors attack vs Hacken defenceattack1370defence1502−132 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%64%
8.550%53%
9.538%40%
10.527%29%
Each team on its own
Hackenwe expect 5.0, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Degerforswe expect 3.6, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 30%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 22.8 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.564%61%
21.557%54%
22.550%47%
23.543%38%
Each team on its own
Hackenwe expect 12.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 65%
Degerforswe expect 10.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.563%66%
2.536%44%
3.517%25%
4.57%13%
Each team on its own
Hackenwe expect 0.8, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 18%
Degerforswe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Degerfors: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Hacken: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Degerfors: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 42:30 | 39 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20:35 | 20 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hacken vs Degerfors?
Hacken are the favourites. Chances: Hacken win 61%, draw 22%, Degerfors win 18%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Hacken vs Degerfors?
Expected goals: 3.0 (Hacken 2.0, Degerfors 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 57%. Most likely score: 2-0.
When is Hacken vs Degerfors?
The Allsvenskan match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:00 (UK time).