AllsvenskanMatchday 23
Hacken 3-0 Orgryte: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg
- Referee:
- Kristoffer Karlsson
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Lost68%
under 3.5 yellow cards in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches); 2.5 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.5 in the visitors', league average 3.3
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won71%
our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9
- Match Result: HackenWon76%
Orgryte: winless in their last 7 league matches
- Shots on Target – Orgryte: Under 4.5Won67%
our numbers for Orgryte: 3.8 shots on target against a league average of 4.3
- Fouls – Orgryte: Under 10.5Won59%
our numbers for Orgryte: 9.9 fouls against a league average of 10.6
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Won9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%54%O2.571%56%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Orgryte4:3HackenL
- Hacken2:0OrgryteW
- Orgryte0:1HackenW
- Orgryte1:1HackenD
- Hacken2:2OrgryteD
Hacken's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.9league 3.3under 3.5: 68%Expected yellow cards: 2.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
RefereeK. Karlsson−0.6 yellow cards vs average15 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 62% · H2H 4/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 0.9total 3.7Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Hacken : OrgryteMost likely scores
Market1-17%2-010%1-0—2-19%3-09%3-18%Attack/defence1-111%2-010%1-010%2-110%3-06%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-111%2-02-010%2-010%1-01-0—1-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-06%3-13-18%3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 90%81% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 86%77% | 77% |
| 1 – Hacken win | 76%58% · Elo 63% | 58%· Elo 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%33% | 33% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50%67% | 67% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29%44% | 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 24%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 14%23% · Elo 20% | 23%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 11%21% | 21% |
| 2 – Orgryte win | 10%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
Attack vs defence
Hacken attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1545defence1392+153 pts to the attack
Orgryte attack vs Hacken defenceattack1407defence1494−87 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%64%
8.550%53%
9.537%41%
10.527%29%
Each team on its own
Hackenwe expect 4.8, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Orgrytewe expect 3.8, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 51%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 49%
We expect 21.6 in this match, 21.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.556%61%
21.549%54%
22.542%47%
23.535%38%
Each team on its own
Hackenwe expect 10.8, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Orgrytewe expect 9.9, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Referee: 22.3 fouls per match on average (21 matches in our data)+1.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 2.2 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.565%66%
2.539%43%
3.519%25%
4.58%13%
Each team on its own
Hackenwe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 22%
Orgrytewe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Orgryte: no win in 7 matches
- Hacken: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Orgryte: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 42:30 | 39 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25:52 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Hacken vs Orgryte?
Hacken 3-0 Orgryte (half time 2-0).
Did the Hacken vs Orgryte tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.