AllsvenskanMatchday 20

Orgryte 1-1 Hammarby: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Fredrik Klitte

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost74%

our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:3Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOrgryte13617%17%Draw11%20%Hammarby164881%63%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.574%57%|exp. goals 1.0 : 2.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Hammarby8:1OrgryteL
  2. Orgryte0:0HammarbyD
  3. Hammarby0:1OrgryteW
  4. Hammarby0:1OrgryteW
  5. Orgryte1:3HammarbyL
Orgryte's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.6league 3.5under 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 2
RefereeF. Klitte+0.7 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.8 : 3.0total 3.8Attack/defence1.0 : 2.0total 3.0
Orgryte : Hammarby
Most likely scores
Market0-210%1-1—0-310%1-28%0-1—1-38%0-48%Attack/defence0-210%1-110%0-37%1-210%0-110%1-37%0-4—
MarketAttack/defence0-20-210%0-210%1-11-1—1-110%0-30-310%0-37%1-21-28%1-210%0-10-1—0-110%1-31-38%1-37%0-40-48%0-4—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
X2 – away team avoid defeat92%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals90%79%79%
12 – no draw88%78%78%
2 – Hammarby win81%61% · Elo 63%61%· Elo 63%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals74%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals53%34%34%
Both teams to score: yes53%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals47%66%66%
Both teams to score: no47%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals26%43%43%
1X – home team avoid defeat18%39%39%
X – draw11%22% · Elo 20%22%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals10%21%21%
1 – Orgryte win7%17% · Elo 17%17%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Orgryte attack vs Hammarby defenceattack1411defence1638−227 pts to the attack
Hammarby attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1682defence1399+283 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Hammarby score 2.3 goals per game
  • Orgryte: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hammarby: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Hammarby23134649:2143
15Orgryte23361425:5215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Orgryte vs Hammarby?

Orgryte 1-1 Hammarby (half time 1-1).

Did the Orgryte vs Hammarby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.