AllsvenskanMatchday 19

Goteborg 1-0 Orgryte: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
Referee:
Adam Ladeback

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost63%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGoteborg151859%53%Draw22%24%Orgryte136119%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%53%O2.563%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Orgryte2:3GoteborgW
  2. Orgryte1:2GoteborgW
  3. Goteborg3:0OrgryteW
  4. Orgryte3:2GoteborgL
  5. Goteborg2:1OrgryteW
Goteborg's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.2under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.5under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 2
RefereeA. Ladeback−0.3 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.1total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.8
Goteborg : Orgryte
Most likely scores
Market1-110%1-07%2-110%2-09%3-17%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%3-1—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-112%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-17%3-1—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%77%77%
12 – no draw78%75%75%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes60%53%53%
1 – Goteborg win59%53% · Elo 53%53%· Elo 53%
Under 3.5 goals59%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals41%30%30%
Both teams to score: no40%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals37%48%48%
X – draw22%25% · Elo 24%25%· Elo 24%
2 – Orgryte win19%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals16%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Goteborg attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1473defence1401+72 pts to the attack
Orgryte attack vs Goteborg defenceattack1413defence1495−82 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Goteborg concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Orgryte concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Goteborg matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Goteborg: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Orgryte: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Goteborg23105832:4135
15Orgryte23361425:5215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Goteborg vs Orgryte?

Goteborg 1-0 Orgryte (half time 0-0).

Did the Goteborg vs Orgryte tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.