AllsvenskanMatchday 22
Orgryte 1-2 Sirius: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg
- Referee:
- Erik Mattsson
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won70%
referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.4; our numbers: 2.7 cards against a league average of 3.4
Other tips
- Match Result: SiriusWon67%
Sirius: won 8 of their last 10 league matches away; Orgryte: winless in their last 6 league matches
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.9
For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won49%
referee Erik Mattsson averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 3.4; our numbers: 2.7 cards against a league average of 3.4
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%61%O2.566%61%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.8both scored
H2Hlast meeting
- Sirius2:0OrgryteL
Orgryte's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.6league 10.3under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards2.7league 3.4under 3.5: 70%Expected cards: 2.7 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 5%.won · ended 2
RefereeE. Mattsson−1.7 cards vs average14 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 2.4total 3.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.8total 3.1
Orgryte : SiriusMost likely scores
Market1-19%1-210%0-29%1-38%0-38%0-1—2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%1-210%0-27%1-3—0-3—0-18%2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%1-21-210%1-210%0-20-29%0-27%1-31-38%1-3—0-30-38%0-3—0-10-1—0-18%2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 85%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 81%77% | 77% |
| 2 – Sirius win | 67%50% · Elo 59% | 50%· Elo 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%62% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%40% | 40% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 32%50% | 50% |
| X – draw | 18%23% · Elo 22% | 23%· Elo 22% |
| 1 – Orgryte win | 14%27% · Elo 19% | 27%· Elo 19% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Orgryte attack vs Sirius defenceattack1412defence1477−65 pts to the attack
Sirius attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1630defence1386+244 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53:28 | 54 |
| 15 | Orgryte | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25:52 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Orgryte vs Sirius?
Orgryte 1-2 Sirius (half time 0-1).
Did the Orgryte vs Sirius tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.