AllsvenskanMatchday 21

Malmo FF 4-1 Orgryte: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Eleda Stadion, Malmo
Referee:
Adi Aganovic

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Malmo FFWon68%

Orgryte: winless in their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMalmo FF156168%63%Draw18%20%Orgryte136114%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%52%O2.563%55%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Orgryte1:1Malmo FFD
  2. Orgryte1:0Malmo FFL
  3. Malmo FF3:0OrgryteW
  4. Malmo FF4:2OrgryteW
  5. Orgryte1:2Malmo FFW
Malmo FF's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.5under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Aganovic−0.2 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.9total 3.2Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Malmo FF : Orgryte
Most likely scores
Market2-010%1-08%1-19%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-011%1-110%2-110%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-010%2-011%1-01-08%1-011%1-11-19%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%84%84%
Over 1.5 goals84%78%78%
12 – no draw82%79%79%
Our tip: 1 – Malmo FF win68%63% · Elo 63%63%· Elo 63%
Over 2.5 goals63%55%55%
Under 3.5 goals60%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes55%52%52%
Both teams to score: no45%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals40%33%33%
Under 2.5 goals37%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%38%38%
X – draw18%22% · Elo 20%22%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals16%22%22%
2 – Orgryte win14%16% · Elo 17%16%· Elo 17%
Attack vs defence
Malmo FF attack vs Orgryte defenceattack1566defence1395+171 pts to the attack
Orgryte attack vs Malmo FF defenceattack1408defence1558−150 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Malmo FF23113938:3336
15Orgryte23361425:5215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Malmo FF vs Orgryte?

Malmo FF 4-1 Orgryte (half time 0-0).

Did the Malmo FF vs Orgryte tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Malmo FF. The tip won.