Challenge LeagueMatchday 3

Aarau 2-1 Stade Nyonnais: prediction, tips and result

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2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Referee:
Desiree Blanco

The match in numbers

1X2EloAarau142468%71%Draw19%18%Stade Nyonnais116113%12%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%59%O2.561%63%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarau5:1Stade NyonnaisW
  2. Stade Nyonnais1:1AarauD
  3. Aarau0:1Stade NyonnaisL
  4. Stade Nyonnais4:5AarauW
  5. Aarau1:1Stade NyonnaisD
Aarau's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 9.0over 8.5: 52%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.6under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 7
RefereeD. Blanco0.0 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 0.9total 3.2Attack/defence2.2 : 1.1total 3.2
Aarau : Stade Nyonnais
Most likely scores
Market2-011%2-110%1-19%1-09%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-09%2-110%1-19%1-08%3-07%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-09%2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%1-01-09%1-08%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%83%83%
Over 1.5 goals83%83%83%
12 – no draw81%80%80%
1 – Aarau win68%62% · Elo 71%62%· Elo 71%
Under 3.5 goals62%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals61%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes53%59%59%
Both teams to score: no47%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals39%37%37%
Over 3.5 goals38%41%41%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%38%38%
X – draw19%20% · Elo 18%20%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals17%17%17%
2 – Stade Nyonnais win13%18% · Elo 12%18%· Elo 12%
Attack vs defence
Aarau attack vs Stade Nyonnais defenceattack1583defence1445+138 pts to the attack
Stade Nyonnais attack vs Aarau defenceattack1389defence1535−146 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stade Nyonnais concede 3.0 goals per game
  • Stade Nyonnais matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Aarau: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Aarau: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Stade Nyonnais: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Aarau1033415:1812
10Stade Nyonnais101278:245
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Aarau 2-1 Stade Nyonnais (half time 1-0).