Challenge LeagueMatchday 10

Stade Nyonnais 2-1 Aarau: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Referee:
Maurizio Londino

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won70%

over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (61% of league matches); our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

Other tips

  • Match Result: AarauLost64%

    Stade Nyonnais: winless in their last 9 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStade Nyonnais116114%16%Draw17%21%Aarau142469%63%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%62%O2.572%62%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarau2:1Stade NyonnaisL
  2. Aarau5:1Stade NyonnaisL
  3. Stade Nyonnais1:1AarauD
  4. Aarau0:1Stade NyonnaisW
  5. Stade Nyonnais4:5AarauL
Stade Nyonnais's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.1league 9.2under 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 9.1 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Londino−1.0 yellow cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.6total 3.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.9total 3.2
Stade Nyonnais : Aarau
Most likely scores
Market1-18%1-29%0-28%1-38%0-1—0-37%2-1—Attack/defence1-110%1-210%0-28%1-36%0-18%0-3—2-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-110%1-21-29%1-210%0-20-28%0-28%1-31-38%1-36%0-10-1—0-18%0-30-37%0-3—2-12-1—2-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%83%83%
X2 – away team avoid defeat86%75%75%
12 – no draw83%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals72%62%62%
2 – Aarau win69%53% · Elo 63%53%· Elo 63%
Both teams to score: yes63%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals52%40%40%
Under 3.5 goals48%60%60%
Both teams to score: no37%38%38%
1X – home team avoid defeat31%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals28%38%38%
X – draw17%23% · Elo 21%23%· Elo 21%
1 – Stade Nyonnais win14%25% · Elo 16%25%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals11%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Stade Nyonnais attack vs Aarau defenceattack1365defence1521−156 pts to the attack
Aarau attack vs Stade Nyonnais defenceattack1591defence1411+180 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stade Nyonnais concede 2.5 goals per game
  • Aarau: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Stade Nyonnais: no win in 18 matches
  • Stade Nyonnais: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Aarau: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Aarau1033415:1812
10Stade Nyonnais101278:245
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau?

Stade Nyonnais 2-1 Aarau (half time 0-0).

Did the Stade Nyonnais vs Aarau tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.