Challenge LeagueMatchday 7

Aarau 3-2 Rapperswil-Jona: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Referee:
Marijan Drmic

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won69%

our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Lost56%

    referee Marijan Drmic averages 4.2 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won47%

our numbers: 3.6 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAarau142459%62%Draw21%22%Rapperswil-Jona128620%17%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%64%O2.569%67%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Rapperswil-Jona4:5AarauW
  2. Aarau5:3Rapperswil-JonaW
  3. Aarau2:1Rapperswil-JonaW
  4. Rapperswil-Jona0:1AarauW
  5. Aarau1:0Rapperswil-JonaW
Aarau's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.1under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.7under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.lost · ended 5
RefereeM. Drmic−0.6 cards vs average21 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.3total 3.6Attack/defence2.2 : 1.3total 3.5
Aarau : Rapperswil-Jona
Most likely scores
Market2-19%1-19%2-07%3-17%1-0—2-26%Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-08%3-17%1-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-07%2-08%3-13-17%3-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%86%86%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%79%79%
12 – no draw79%79%79%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals69%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes65%64%64%
1 – Aarau win59%58% · Elo 62%58%· Elo 62%
Under 3.5 goals53%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals47%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat41%42%42%
Both teams to score: no35%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals31%33%33%
X – draw21%21% · Elo 22%21%· Elo 22%
2 – Rapperswil-Jona win20%21% · Elo 17%21%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals13%14%14%
Attack vs defence
Aarau attack vs Rapperswil-Jona defenceattack1591defence1434+157 pts to the attack
Rapperswil-Jona attack vs Aarau defenceattack1481defence1529−48 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rapperswil-Jona concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Aarau: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rapperswil-Jona played 3 days ago
  • Aarau: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Aarau1033415:1812
7Rapperswil-Jona1031615:1910
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona?

Aarau 3-2 Rapperswil-Jona (half time 0-1).

Did the Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.