Challenge LeagueMatchday 5
Aarau 2-1 Xamax: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
- Referee:
- Desiree Blanco
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%63%O2.560%64%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Xamax1:3AarauW
- Aarau1:0XamaxW
- Xamax1:2AarauW
- Aarau2:0XamaxW
- Xamax1:1AarauD
Aarau's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.2league 9.1under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.6under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 6
RefereeD. Blanco+0.1 cards vs average15 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.3total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.3total 3.3
Aarau : XamaxMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%2-07%1-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-07%1-07%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-07%1-01-07%1-07%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%64% | 64% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Aarau win | 46%52% · Elo 53% | 52%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%36% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%42% | 42% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%37% | 37% |
| 2 – Xamax win | 27%26% · Elo 22% | 26%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 26%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Aarau attack vs Xamax defenceattack1583defence1491+92 pts to the attack
Xamax attack vs Aarau defenceattack1518defence1535−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Aarau: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Xamax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Xamax: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Aarau: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Xamax: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Xamax | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aarau vs Xamax?
Aarau 2-1 Xamax (half time 0-0).