Challenge LeagueMatchday 4

Xamax 1-2 Lausanne Ouchy: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
La Maladiere, Neuchatel
Referee:
Luca Schelbli

The match in numbers

1X2EloXamax132232%37%Draw25%28%Lausanne Ouchy143643%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%60%O2.564%57%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lausanne Ouchy2:1XamaxL
  2. Xamax3:0Lausanne OuchyW
  3. Lausanne Ouchy3:0XamaxL
  4. Xamax0:2Lausanne OuchyL
  5. Lausanne Ouchy0:0XamaxD
Xamax's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.0under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.6under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 8
RefereeL. Schelbli−2.8 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.5total 3.0
Xamax : Lausanne Ouchy
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%0-1—1-0—2-27%0-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-18%0-17%1-07%2-26%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-10-1—0-17%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-20-26%0-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%80%80%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat68%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes66%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals64%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals58%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat57%63%63%
2 – Lausanne Ouchy win43%38% · Elo 35%38%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals42%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals36%43%43%
Both teams to score: no34%40%40%
1 – Xamax win32%37% · Elo 37%37%· Elo 37%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals15%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Xamax attack vs Lausanne Ouchy defenceattack1519defence1584−65 pts to the attack
Lausanne Ouchy attack vs Xamax defenceattack1531defence1493+38 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Xamax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Xamax: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Xamax: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lausanne Ouchy: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lausanne Ouchy1073020:324
5Xamax1050515:1715
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Xamax vs Lausanne Ouchy?

Xamax 1-2 Lausanne Ouchy (half time 0-2).