Challenge LeagueMatchday 8

Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Xamax: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Referee:
Joel Brunner

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStade Nyonnais116128%27%Draw25%26%Xamax132246%47%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.563%57%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Xamax4:1Stade NyonnaisL
  2. Stade Nyonnais0:0XamaxD
  3. Stade Nyonnais1:1XamaxD
  4. Xamax1:1Stade NyonnaisD
  5. Stade Nyonnais1:3XamaxL
Stade Nyonnais's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.6under 4.5: 53%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 1
RefereeJ. Brunnerfirst match in our data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.8total 3.2Attack/defence1.4 : 1.6total 3.0
Stade Nyonnais : Xamax
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-1—0-27%2-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%0-26%2-2—1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-1—0-18%0-20-27%0-26%2-22-27%2-2—1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes64%60%60%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals59%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%59%59%
2 – Xamax win46%41% · Elo 47%41%· Elo 47%
Over 3.5 goals41%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals37%43%43%
Both teams to score: no36%40%40%
1 – Stade Nyonnais win28%34% · Elo 27%34%· Elo 27%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Stade Nyonnais attack vs Xamax defenceattack1374defence1471−97 pts to the attack
Xamax attack vs Stade Nyonnais defenceattack1494defence1435+59 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stade Nyonnais concede 2.5 goals per game
  • Xamax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais: no win in 16 matches
  • Xamax: 4 defeats in a row
  • Stade Nyonnais: only 2 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 8 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Stade Nyonnais: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Xamax: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Xamax1050515:1715
10Stade Nyonnais101278:245
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax?

Stade Nyonnais 1-3 Xamax (half time 1-1).

Did the Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.