Challenge LeagueMatchday 6

Xamax 1-2 Yverdon: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
La Maladiere, Neuchatel
Referee:
Maxime Odiet

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost63%

referee Maxime Odiet averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon64%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (60% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost45%

referee Maxime Odiet averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 4.6; our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloXamax132234%28%Draw26%27%Yverdon145640%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.562%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Yverdon2:2XamaxD
  2. Xamax1:2YverdonL
  3. Xamax2:2YverdonD
  4. Yverdon3:1XamaxL
  5. Yverdon2:0XamaxL
Xamax's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.2under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.6under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM. Odiet−1.9 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.7total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.6total 3.1
Xamax : Yverdon
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%2-27%1-0—0-16%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-18%2-27%1-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%0-10-16%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%82%82%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes64%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals62%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals61%62%62%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%63%63%
2 – Yverdon win40%37% · Elo 45%37%· Elo 45%
Over 3.5 goals39%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals38%40%40%
Both teams to score: no36%37%37%
1 – Xamax win34%38% · Elo 28%38%· Elo 28%
X – draw26%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals17%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Xamax attack vs Yverdon defenceattack1513defence1542−29 pts to the attack
Yverdon attack vs Xamax defenceattack1554defence1490+64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Xamax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Yverdon: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Xamax: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Yverdon: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Yverdon1054116:919
5Xamax1050515:1715
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Xamax vs Yverdon?

Xamax 1-2 Yverdon (half time 1-1).

Did the Xamax vs Yverdon tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.