Challenge LeagueMatchday 7

Winterthur 4-0 Xamax: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
Referee:
Lukas Fahndrich

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won58%

referee Lukas Fahndrich averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.7

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won40%

our numbers: 4.2 cards against a league average of 4.7; referee Lukas Fahndrich averages 3.8 cards a match, league average 4.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWinterthur140846%50%Draw24%26%Xamax132229%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%64%O2.565%62%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Winterthur3:1XamaxW
  2. Xamax0:0WinterthurD
  3. Xamax1:1WinterthurD
  4. Winterthur2:1XamaxW
  5. Winterthur0:1XamaxL
Winterthur's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.1under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 11
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.7under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 3
RefereeL. Fahndrich−0.8 cards vs average24 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Winterthur : Xamax
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-07%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-06%2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%83%83%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes66%64%64%
Over 2.5 goals65%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals56%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat53%55%55%
1 – Winterthur win46%45% · Elo 50%45%· Elo 50%
Over 3.5 goals44%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals35%38%38%
Both teams to score: no34%37%37%
2 – Xamax win29%31% · Elo 25%31%· Elo 25%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 26%24%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals14%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Winterthur attack vs Xamax defenceattack1519defence1486+33 pts to the attack
Xamax attack vs Winterthur defenceattack1507defence1483+24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Xamax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Winterthur: newly promoted
  • Winterthur played 3 days ago
  • Xamax played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Winterthur1053219:1118
5Xamax1050515:1715
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Winterthur vs Xamax?

Winterthur 4-0 Xamax (half time 3-0).

Did the Winterthur vs Xamax tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.