Challenge LeagueMatchday 10
Xamax 3-0 Winterthur: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- La Maladiere, Neuchatel
- Referee:
- Logan Berchier
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won65%
over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (61% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%64%O2.566%62%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Winterthur4:0XamaxL
- Winterthur3:1XamaxL
- Xamax0:0WinterthurD
- Xamax1:1WinterthurD
- Winterthur2:1XamaxL
Xamax's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.5league 4.4under 4.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 2
RefereeL. Berchier+0.6 yellow cards vs average13 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)65%U3.52:2coverageleague 72% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.9total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.6total 3.2
Xamax : WinterthurMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-29%2-17%2-27%1-0—0-1—0-26%Attack/defence1-111%1-28%2-18%2-27%1-06%0-16%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-16%0-20-26%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%83% | 83% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 72%61% | 61% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 66%62% | 62% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%64% | 64% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 51%63% | 63% |
| 2 – Winterthur win | 49%37% · Elo 45% | 37%· Elo 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%36% | 36% |
| 1 – Xamax win | 28%39% · Elo 28% | 39%· Elo 28% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%17% | 17% |
Attack vs defence
Xamax attack vs Winterthur defenceattack1487defence1512−25 pts to the attack
Winterthur attack vs Xamax defenceattack1536defence1467+69 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Xamax: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Winterthur: newly promoted
- Xamax: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Winterthur: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Xamax | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Xamax vs Winterthur?
Xamax 3-0 Winterthur (half time 1-0).
Did the Xamax vs Winterthur tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.