Challenge LeagueMatchday 8
Etoile Carouge 0-1 Winterthur: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
- Referee:
- Marijan Drmic
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won60%
under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (53% of league matches); 3.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 4.6
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won41%
under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 7 (30% of league matches); our numbers: 4.2 cards against a league average of 4.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%60%O2.564%57%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Winterthur0:0Etoile CarougeD
- Etoile Carouge0:2WinterthurL
Etoile Carouge's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 18
Cardsleague cards4.2league 4.6under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 3
RefereeM. Drmic−0.6 cards vs average22 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Etoile Carouge : WinterthurMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-18%1-0—2-27%0-1—2-0—0-26%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%2-2—0-17%2-06%0-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-17%2-02-0—2-06%0-20-26%0-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66%60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%66% | 66% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%67% | 67% |
| 2 – Winterthur win | 43%33% · Elo 41% | 33%· Elo 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 34%40% | 40% |
| 1 – Etoile Carouge win | 32%42% · Elo 31% | 42%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 25%25% · Elo 27% | 25%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Etoile Carouge attack vs Winterthur defenceattack1460defence1496−36 pts to the attack
Winterthur attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1535defence1536−1 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Etoile Carouge matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Winterthur: newly promoted
- Etoile Carouge: 7 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Winterthur: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Etoile Carouge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Etoile Carouge vs Winterthur?
Etoile Carouge 0-1 Winterthur (half time 0-0).
Did the Etoile Carouge vs Winterthur tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.