Challenge LeagueMatchday 6

Lausanne Ouchy 3-0 Etoile Carouge: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne
Referee:
Jonathan Jaussi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost62%

referee Jonathan Jaussi averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 4.6

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost44%

our numbers: 4.0 cards against a league average of 4.6; referee Jonathan Jaussi averages 3.9 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLausanne Ouchy143656%48%Draw24%26%Etoile Carouge129021%26%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%55%O2.561%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Etoile Carouge1:1Lausanne OuchyD
  2. Lausanne Ouchy0:1Etoile CarougeL
  3. Etoile Carouge1:2Lausanne OuchyW
  4. Lausanne Ouchy2:0Etoile CarougeW
  5. Etoile Carouge1:2Lausanne OuchyW
Lausanne Ouchy's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.6under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 6
RefereeJ. Jaussi−1.3 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Lausanne Ouchy : Etoile Carouge
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%3-17%0-1—0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-010%2-09%3-1—0-17%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-010%2-02-08%2-09%3-13-17%3-1—0-10-1—0-17%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%75%75%
12 – no draw77%75%75%
Over 2.5 goals61%52%52%
Under 3.5 goals61%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes60%55%55%
1 – Lausanne Ouchy win56%49% · Elo 48%49%· Elo 48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat45%51%51%
Both teams to score: no40%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals39%48%48%
Over 3.5 goals39%30%30%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
2 – Etoile Carouge win21%26% · Elo 26%26%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals17%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Lausanne Ouchy attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1540defence1544−4 pts to the attack
Etoile Carouge attack vs Lausanne Ouchy defenceattack1467defence1583−116 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Etoile Carouge matches average only 3.2 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Lausanne Ouchy: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Lausanne Ouchy: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Etoile Carouge: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lausanne Ouchy1073020:324
9Etoile Carouge102358:149
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge?

Lausanne Ouchy 3-0 Etoile Carouge (half time 1-0).

Did the Lausanne Ouchy vs Etoile Carouge tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.