Challenge LeagueMatchday 7
Etoile Carouge 1-1 Wil: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge
- Referee:
- Luca Schelbli
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won57%
3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.2 in the visitors', league average 4.7; under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (52% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won38%
under 3.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (29% of league matches); 3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.2 in the visitors', league average 4.7
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%58%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Etoile Carouge2:0WilW
- Wil1:3Etoile CarougeW
- Etoile Carouge0:0WilD
- Wil1:0Etoile CarougeL
- Wil2:2Etoile CarougeD
Etoile Carouge's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.1under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.7under 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeL. Schelbli−0.7 cards vs average3 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.2total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Etoile Carouge : WilMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-2—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%76% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%58% | 58% |
| 1 – Etoile Carouge win | 55%49% · Elo 46% | 49%· Elo 46% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%42% | 42% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Wil win | 22%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Etoile Carouge attack vs Wil defenceattack1464defence1446+18 pts to the attack
Wil attack vs Etoile Carouge defenceattack1470defence1538−68 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wil concede 2.2 goals per game
- Wil matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.7) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Etoile Carouge played 3 days ago
- Wil: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wil | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 9 | Etoile Carouge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Etoile Carouge vs Wil?
Etoile Carouge 1-1 Wil (half time 1-0).
Did the Etoile Carouge vs Wil tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.