Challenge LeagueMatchday 9
Winterthur 2-1 Aarau: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur
- Referee:
- Hajrim Qovanaj
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%66%O2.564%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Aarau0:3WinterthurW
- Winterthur4:2AarauW
- Aarau2:0WinterthurL
- Winterthur0:0AarauD
- Winterthur3:3AarauD
Winterthur's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.2under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards4.6league 4.6under 4.5: 52%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 6
RefereeH. Qovanaj+0.1 cards vs average19 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.6total 3.3
Winterthur : AarauMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-27%2-07%2-27%1-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-110%2-18%1-28%2-0—2-27%1-06%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-27%1-28%2-02-07%2-0—2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Winterthur win | 49%40% · Elo 39% | 40%· Elo 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%43% | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Aarau win | 27%37% · Elo 34% | 37%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Winterthur attack vs Aarau defenceattack1531defence1527+4 pts to the attack
Aarau attack vs Winterthur defenceattack1592defence1511+81 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Aarau: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Winterthur: newly promoted
- Winterthur: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Aarau: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Aarau | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:18 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Winterthur vs Aarau?
Winterthur 2-1 Aarau (half time 1-1).