Challenge LeagueMatchday 8

Aarau 2-2 Kriens: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Stadion Brügglifeld, Aarau
Referee:
Jonathan Jaussi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won58%

referee Jonathan Jaussi averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 4.6

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won69%

    our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 3.0

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won40%

referee Jonathan Jaussi averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAarau142458%61%Draw21%22%Kriens128821%17%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%62%O2.569%62%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Aarau3:2KriensW
  2. Kriens0:5AarauW
  3. Kriens1:2AarauW
  4. Aarau0:0KriensD
  5. Aarau4:0KriensW
Aarau's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.3league 4.6under 4.5: 58%Expected cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeJ. Jaussi−1.1 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.3total 3.5Attack/defence2.0 : 1.3total 3.2
Aarau : Kriens
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-07%1-0—3-17%1-2—2-26%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%1-08%3-16%1-26%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-08%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%76%76%
12 – no draw79%78%78%
Over 2.5 goals69%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes66%62%62%
1 – Aarau win58%54% · Elo 61%54%· Elo 61%
Under 3.5 goals52%60%60%
Over 3.5 goals48%40%40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%46%46%
Both teams to score: no34%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals31%38%38%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
2 – Kriens win21%24% · Elo 17%24%· Elo 17%
Under 1.5 goals12%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Aarau attack vs Kriens defenceattack1594defence1503+91 pts to the attack
Kriens attack vs Aarau defenceattack1473defence1527−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aarau: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Kriens: newly promoted
  • Aarau: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kriens: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Kriens1043317:1215
6Aarau1033415:1812
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarau vs Kriens?

Aarau 2-2 Kriens (half time 1-2).

Did the Aarau vs Kriens tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.