Challenge LeagueMatchday 9

Wil 5-0 Stade Nyonnais: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
IGP Arena, Wil
Referee:
Marijan Drmic

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won61%

3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 4.6; under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 8 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: WilWon63%

    Stade Nyonnais: winless in their last 8 league matches

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 8 (31% of league matches); 3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 4.0 in the visitors', league average 4.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWil128763%54%Draw20%25%Stade Nyonnais116118%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Stade Nyonnais0:1WilW
  2. Wil0:0Stade NyonnaisD
  3. Wil1:0Stade NyonnaisW
  4. Stade Nyonnais2:1WilL
  5. Stade Nyonnais0:2WilW
Wil's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.2under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.6under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 4
RefereeM. Drmic−0.6 cards vs average23 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.1total 3.4Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.0
Wil : Stade Nyonnais
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%1-07%2-08%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat83%74%74%
12 – no draw81%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals67%58%58%
1 – Wil win63%50% · Elo 54%50%· Elo 54%
Both teams to score: yes62%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals55%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals45%36%36%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%50%50%
Both teams to score: no38%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals33%42%42%
X – draw20%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
2 – Stade Nyonnais win18%26% · Elo 21%26%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Wil attack vs Stade Nyonnais defenceattack1468defence1430+38 pts to the attack
Stade Nyonnais attack vs Wil defenceattack1372defence1441−69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wil concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Stade Nyonnais concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Stade Nyonnais: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Stade Nyonnais: no win in 17 matches
  • Wil: no win in 7 matches
  • Wil: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Stade Nyonnais: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Wil1024416:2210
10Stade Nyonnais101278:245
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wil vs Stade Nyonnais?

Wil 5-0 Stade Nyonnais (half time 1-0).

Did the Wil vs Stade Nyonnais tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.