Challenge LeagueMatchday 11
Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 9d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%O2.563%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Rapperswil-Jona4:5WilW
- Rapperswil-Jona2:0WilL
- Wil0:2Rapperswil-JonaL
- Rapperswil-Jona1:2WilW
- Wil1:3Rapperswil-JonaL
Wil's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.2under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.2league 4.4under 4.5: 59%Expected yellow cards: 4.2 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.3
Wil : Rapperswil-JonaMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-0—2-06%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-07%2-06%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-06%2-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 12 – no draw | 75%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Wil win | 43%46% · Elo 42% | 46%· Elo 42% |
| 2 – Rapperswil-Jona win | 32%31% · Elo 31% | 31%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 27% | 24%· Elo 27% |
Attack vs defence
Wil attack vs Rapperswil-Jona defenceattack1492defence1444+48 pts to the attack
Rapperswil-Jona attack vs Wil defenceattack1488defence1455+33 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.571%64%
8.558%52%
9.546%42%
10.534%32%
Each team on its own
Wilwe expect 5.5, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 62%
Rapperswil-Jonawe expect 4.2, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 23.8 in this match, 24.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.550%52%
24.544%46%
25.537%40%
26.531%32%
Each team on its own
Wilwe expect 12.6, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 48%
Rapperswil-Jonawe expect 11.2, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.573%72%
2.549%44%
3.527%28%
4.513%18%
Each team on its own
Wilwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Rapperswil-Jonawe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Wil concede 2.2 goals per game
- Wil: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Rapperswil-Jona: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 8 | Wil | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:22 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona?
Wil are the favourites. Chances: Wil win 43%, draw 25%, Rapperswil-Jona win 32%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Wil 1.8, Rapperswil-Jona 1.5). Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Wil vs Rapperswil-Jona?
The Challenge League match kicks off 23 October 2026, 18:30 (UK time).