Super LeagueMatchday 11
Servette vs Vaduz: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%62%O2.565%65%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vaduz1:3ServetteW
- Servette1:2VaduzL
- Servette1:1VaduzD
- Vaduz0:2ServetteW
- Vaduz1:5ServetteW
Servette's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.3under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.4league 4.5under 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.3total 3.4Attack/defence2.2 : 1.2total 3.4
Servette : VaduzMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-07%1-06%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence1-19%2-110%2-08%1-07%3-17%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-19%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-07%2-08%1-01-06%1-07%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%85% | 85% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 78%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%79% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%62% | 62% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Servette win | 55%60% · Elo 59% | 60%· Elo 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%38% | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 23%21% · Elo 23% | 21%· Elo 23% |
| 2 – Vaduz win | 23%20% · Elo 18% | 20%· Elo 18% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Servette attack vs Vaduz defenceattack1508defence1408+100 pts to the attack
Vaduz attack vs Servette defenceattack1448defence1562−114 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.558%64%
9.545%48%
10.534%39%
11.524%26%
Each team on its own
Servettewe expect 5.2, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 41%
Vaduzwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 23.0 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.552%51%
23.545%45%
24.538%41%
25.532%37%
Each team on its own
Servettewe expect 11.1, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Vaduzwe expect 11.9, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.574%80%
2.550%54%
3.528%33%
4.514%15%
Each team on its own
Servettewe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Vaduzwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Vaduz10 matches in a row over 2.5 goalsaway: 5Went on 58%League 77%Model 65%Record 25
- Vaduz5 defeats in a row awayWent on 52%League 43%Model 55%Record 10
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Vaduz concede 2.1 goals per game
- Vaduz: 10 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Servette matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.3) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Vaduz: newly promoted
- Servette played 0 days ago
- Vaduz played 0 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Servette | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21:21 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Servette vs Vaduz?
Servette are the favourites. Chances: Servette win 55%, draw 23%, Vaduz win 23%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Servette vs Vaduz?
Expected goals: 3.4 (Servette 2.1, Vaduz 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Servette vs Vaduz?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Servette vs Vaduz?
The Super League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).