Super LeagueMatchday 10
Vaduz 3-0 Basel: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
- Referee:
- Alessandro Dudic
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesLost70%
goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (65% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%68%O2.569%67%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Vaduz1:1BaselD
- Basel1:2VaduzW
- Vaduz0:2BaselL
- Basel2:2VaduzD
- Basel2:2VaduzD
Vaduz's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.7league 4.5over 4.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.5 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.lost · ended 4
RefereeA. Dudic+0.5 yellow cards vs average22 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%1X1:2coverageleague 77% · H2H 4/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.8total 3.5
Vaduz : BaselMost likely scores
Market1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-1—1-3—3-15%Attack/defence1-110%1-29%2-18%2-27%0-15%1-35%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%1-21-28%1-29%2-12-18%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-15%1-31-3—1-35%3-13-15%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 70%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Vaduz win | 39%35% · Elo 28% | 35%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Basel win | 37%42% · Elo 45% | 42%· Elo 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%33% | 33% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Vaduz attack vs Basel defenceattack1439defence1501−62 pts to the attack
Basel attack vs Vaduz defenceattack1509defence1397+112 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.562%65%
9.549%49%
10.538%40%
11.527%27%
Each team on its own
Vaduzwe expect 5.1, league average 5.3 · chance of over 5.5: 41%
Baselwe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 23.0 in this match, 23.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.551%51%
23.545%44%
24.538%41%
25.532%37%
Each team on its own
Vaduzwe expect 11.1, league average 11.2 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Baselwe expect 12.0, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Referee: 22.7 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)−0.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.572%80%
2.547%54%
3.526%33%
4.512%14%
Each team on its own
Vaduzwe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Baselwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Basel concede 2.1 goals per game
- Basel: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Vaduz: newly promoted
- Vaduz: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Basel: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Basel | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Vaduz | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21:21 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Vaduz vs Basel?
Vaduz 3-0 Basel (half time 2-0).
Did the Vaduz vs Basel tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip lost.