Super LeagueMatchday 9

Basel 1-3 St. Gallen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Referee:
Sven Wolfensberger

The match in numbers

1X2EloBasel158537%40%Draw23%28%St. Gallen165239%32%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%65%O2.570%63%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Basel1:3St. GallenL
  2. St. Gallen3:0BaselL
  3. Basel0:0St. GallenD
  4. St. Gallen2:1BaselL
  5. St. Gallen2:2BaselD
Basel's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.3over 9.5: 63%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.7league 4.8under 4.5: 51%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 5
RefereeS. Wolfensberger−0.4 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.3
Basel : St. Gallen
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—2-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%84%84%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals70%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes70%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals52%59%59%
Over 3.5 goals48%41%41%
2 – St. Gallen win39%33% · Elo 32%33%· Elo 32%
1 – Basel win37%44% · Elo 40%44%· Elo 40%
Under 2.5 goals30%37%37%
Both teams to score: no30%35%35%
X – draw23%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals12%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Basel attack vs St. Gallen defenceattack1518defence1541−23 pts to the attack
St. Gallen attack vs Basel defenceattack1523defence1509+14 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Basel concede 2.1 goals per game
  • St. Gallen concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Basel: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Basel: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • St. Gallen: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4St. Gallen1051417:1916
7Basel1041517:2013
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Basel vs St. Gallen?

Basel 1-3 St. Gallen (half time 1-1).