Super LigMatchday 9
Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.547%47%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Kasimpasa1:0EyupsporL
- Eyupspor2:0KasimpasaW
- Eyupspor0:3KasimpasaL
- Kasimpasa2:0EyupsporL
Eyupspor's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Eyupspor : KasimpasaMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-08%0-09%0-19%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-08%0-19%1-28%2-18%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%0-00-09%0-08%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%62% | 62% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 63%65% | 65% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53%53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47%47% | 47% |
| 2 – Kasimpasa win | 37%35% · Elo 36% | 35%· Elo 36% |
| 1 – Eyupspor win | 34%38% · Elo 35% | 38%· Elo 35% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%28% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Eyupspor attack vs Kasimpasa defenceattack1405defence1494−89 pts to the attack
Kasimpasa attack vs Eyupspor defenceattack1451defence1433+18 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%61%
8.550%50%
9.537%37%
10.526%27%
Each team on its own
Eyupsporwe expect 4.7, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 49%
Kasimpasawe expect 4.0, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 56%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 25.7 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.562%58%
24.556%52%
25.549%48%
26.543%41%
Each team on its own
Eyupsporwe expect 12.0, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 42%
Kasimpasawe expect 13.8, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%67%
3.538%44%
4.521%26%
5.510%15%
Each team on its own
Eyupsporwe expect 1.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Kasimpasawe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Eyupspor concede 2.4 goals per game
- Eyupspor matches average only 3.3 cards (league 4.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Eyupspor: 4 defeats in a row
- Eyupspor: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Kasimpasa: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2:20 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Eyupspor win 34%, draw 30%, Kasimpasa win 37%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Eyupspor 1.3, Kasimpasa 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Eyupspor vs Kasimpasa?
The Super Lig match kicks off 24 October 2026, 11:30 (UK time).