Super LigMatchday 8
Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%54%O2.548%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Kasimpasa0:1SamsunsporL
- Samsunspor0:0KasimpasaD
- Samsunspor0:2KasimpasaW
- Kasimpasa1:4SamsunsporL
- Kasimpasa1:0SamsunsporW
Kasimpasa's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.5under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.4under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Kasimpasa : SamsunsporMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-09%0-19%0-09%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-18%0-07%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%0-10-19%0-18%0-00-09%0-07%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%70% | 70% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 62%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 47%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Kasimpasa win | 37%44% · Elo 38% | 44%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Samsunspor win | 35%30% · Elo 33% | 30%· Elo 33% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26%26% | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Kasimpasa attack vs Samsunspor defenceattack1451defence1478−27 pts to the attack
Samsunspor attack vs Kasimpasa defenceattack1479defence1494−15 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%61%
8.550%50%
9.537%37%
10.527%27%
Each team on its own
Kasimpasawe expect 4.9, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 54%
Samsunsporwe expect 3.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 55%close to the league averageunder 45%over
We expect 25.6 in this match, 24.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.561%58%
24.555%52%
25.548%48%
26.542%41%
Each team on its own
Kasimpasawe expect 13.3, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 55%
Samsunsporwe expect 12.4, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.560%67%
3.538%44%
4.521%26%
5.510%15%
Each team on its own
Kasimpasawe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Samsunsporwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Samsunspor5 defeats in a rowaway: 2Went on 49%League 44%Model 37%Record 35
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Samsunspor: 5 defeats in a row
- Kasimpasa: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Samsunspor: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kasimpasa win 37%, draw 27%, Samsunspor win 35%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
Expected goals: 2.6 (Kasimpasa 1.3, Samsunspor 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
The chance that both teams score is 53%.
When is Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?
The Super Lig match kicks off 18 October 2026, 11:30 (UK time).