Super LigMatchday 7

Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor: prediction, tips and result

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Samsunspor
2-00-20-11-50-1
0-3Full time(half time 0-3)
Trabzonspor
4-00-15-01-22-1
Stadium:
Samsun 19 Mayis, Samsun
Referee:
Oguzhan Cakir

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

referee Oguzhan Cakir averages 3.9 yellow cards a match, league average 4.4

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won57%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Shots on Target – Trabzonspor: Over 3.5Won66%

    Trabzonspor: 6.2 shots on target a match, Samsunspor's opponents had 5.5 on average, league average 3.8; over 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 6 league matches, Samsunspor's opponents had over 3.5 in 5 of 6 (48% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Trabzonspor: Under 12.5Won59%

    Trabzonspor: under 12.5 fouls in 5 of their last 6 league matches, Samsunspor's opponents committed under 12.5 in 4 of 6 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won42%

referee Oguzhan Cakir averages 3.9 yellow cards a match, league average 4.4

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSamsunspor161127%33%Draw25%28%Trabzonspor173148%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%59%O2.560%55%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Samsunspor0:3TrabzonsporL
  2. Trabzonspor1:1SamsunsporD
  3. Trabzonspor2:2SamsunsporD
  4. Samsunspor2:1TrabzonsporW
  5. Samsunspor3:1TrabzonsporW
Samsunspor's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.5under 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.1league 4.4under 4.5: 62%Expected yellow cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 3
RefereeO. Cakir−0.6 yellow cards vs average25 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%U3.52:2coverageleague 73% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.8total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Samsunspor : Trabzonspor
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-17%1-0—0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-08%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-17%0-18%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%78%78%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%63%63%
Under 3.5 goals62%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes62%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat52%62%62%
2 – Trabzonspor win48%38% · Elo 38%38%· Elo 38%
Under 2.5 goals40%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals38%33%33%
Both teams to score: no38%42%42%
1 – Samsunspor win27%37% · Elo 33%37%· Elo 33%
X – draw25%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals18%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Samsunspor attack vs Trabzonspor defenceattack1484defence1534−50 pts to the attack
Trabzonspor attack vs Samsunspor defenceattack1583defence1487+96 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.568%61%
8.556%50%
9.544%37%
10.532%27%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Samsunsporwe expect 4.8, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Trabzonsporwe expect 4.6, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 66%
Foulsleague average
Over 24.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 26.7 in this match, 24.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
23.568%59%
24.562%52%
25.555%49%
26.549%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Samsunsporwe expect 13.2, league average 12.4 · chance of over 12.5: 55%
Trabzonsporwe expect 11.8, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 41%
Referee: 26.2 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)+2.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.564%67%
3.542%45%
4.524%26%
5.512%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Samsunsporwe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Trabzonsporwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Samsunspor: 4 defeats in a row
  • Samsunspor: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Trabzonspor: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Samsunspor

Trabzonspor

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Trabzonspor741216:513
17Samsunspor71156:154
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Samsunspor 0-3 Trabzonspor (half time 0-3).

Did the Samsunspor vs Trabzonspor tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also